Commercial Court grounds War Risks insurers in landmark Russian aircraft judgment
Please find a link to the judgment here - Russian Aircraft Lessor Policy Claims [2025] EWHC 1430 (Comm)
Introduction
On 11 June 2025, judgment was handed down following the long-awaited Russian aviation “mega trial” heard in the Commercial Court between October 2024 and January 2025.
The judgment is substantial for a number of reasons, not least because it runs to 230 pages, but also because the £809 million awarded is the largest amount ever awarded by the UK courts.
Of particular significance to policyholders however, is Mr Justice Butcher’s detailed application of causation principles, and his commentary on “the grip of the peril” which he first considered in Stonegate Pub Company Ltd v MS Amlin Corporate Member Ltd & Ors [2022] EWHC 2548 (Comm) and which was recently affirmed in Sky UK Ltd & Anor v Riverstone Managing Agency Ltd & Ors [2023] EWHC 1207 (Comm).
Background
On 10 March 2022, shortly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Russian Government issued an order which banned the export of aircraft and aircraft engines, initially for a period up until 31 December 2022 (“Order 311”). As a result, an estimated £7-10 billion of aircraft were retained by Russian lessees, and coverage proceedings were brought by affected lessors across a range of jurisdictions. Last winter, six sets of those proceedings were heard together by the Commercial Court, with AerCap acting as lead claimant on behalf of DAE, Falcon, KDAC, Merx and Genesis (together, “the Lessors”).
Each of the Lessors insured aircraft under policies which included two relevant sections, namely All Risks and War Risks cover. Whilst the All Risks cover insured against loss arising from property damage subject to certain exclusions, the War Risks cover protected against loss caused by war, which is typically excluded from standard All Risks cover.
Within those sections, there were two principal types of cover: Contingent Cover and Possessed Cover. The Contingent Cover was designed to respond when the aircraft were not in the physical possession of the Lessors, but were instead being operated by the Russian lessees, and was triggered in circumstances where the Lessors could not recover under the operator’s own insurance policies. In contrast, the Possessed Cover was designed to respond when the aircraft were in the actual possession of the Lessors, including during the course of any repossession.
Given that its War Risks cover was subject to an aggregate limit of $1.2 billion (around £892 million), AerCap’s primary claim was for All Risks cover for the full value of the aircraft at $3.5 billion (around £2.57 billion).
We set out the various points considered by the Court, and the key takeaways for policyholders, below.
Insurers’ position
Both All Risks and War Risks insurers denied liability for the Lessors’ claims on the basis that (inter alia):
a) the Lessors had not been permanently deprived of the aircraft;
b) in any event, both Political and Government Perils were excluded under the All Risks cover;
c) the loss was not covered under the War Risks cover; and
d) the effect of US and EU sanctions was that insurers were prohibited from paying the Lessors’ claims.
Contingent Cover or Possessed Cover?
AerCap advanced that it was the Contingent Cover which responded to the claim, given that the assets were stranded in Russia and were not therefore in the care, custody or control of the Lessors.
It was a requirement of the Contingent Cover that the Lessors were “not indemnified” under the lessee’s own insurance policy. The relevant leases obliged the lessees to take out their own insurance for the aircraft during the period of the lease, with the Lessors added as an additional insured. Those policies were referred to by the Court as the Operator Policies. It was an important factor that Lessors had also sought an indemnity under the Operator Policies, which is listed for trial in the Commercial Court in October 2026.
Despite each of the other Lessors seeking cover under the Possessed Cover, Mr Justice Butcher agreed with AerCap and held that each of the Lessors were entitled to claim under the Contingent Cover, given that the various requirements of the Contingent Cover were, prima facie, met.
Whilst the insurers argued that the Contingent Cover only responded in circumstances where the Lessors were “not indemnified” under the Operator Policies, and there was in fact a chance, pending the trial listed for October 2026, that they would be, the Court held that “not indemnified” actually meant “had not been paid”. On that basis, the Lessors’ outstanding claims under the Operator Policies were no bar to cover, as they had not been paid in respect of them.
In reaching that view, Mr Justice Butcher adopted guidance from the Australian case of LCA Marrickville Pty Limited v Swiss Re International SE [2022] FCAFC 17, which held that:
“The ease with which an insured may establish matters relevant to its claim for indemnity may influence questions of construction … a construction which advances the purpose of the cover is to be preferred to one that hinders it as a factor in construing the policies.”
In that vein, the Possessed Cover was not engaged because it was triggered where the aircraft were in the possession of, or alternatively were “in the course of repossession” by, the Lessors. The Court held that the latter required an overt act to physically repossess the aircraft, rather than simply an intention or a plan to do so. Therefore, as the Lessors had not taken steps to repossess the aircraft, the Possessed Cover could not be engaged.
Could the Lessors demonstrate permanent deprivation of the aircraft and, if so, when?
The relevant insuring clauses were triggered by “physical loss or damage” sustained to the aircraft during the period of insurance.
Each of the Lessors advanced a similar argument, which was that it was sufficient for them to show, on the balance of probabilities, that recovery of the aircraft was a “mere chance”.
In contrast, War Risks insurers argued that the appropriate test was whether there was no realistic prospect of recovery at any time within the commercial lifetime of the aircraft, a bar which they said had not been met. All Risks insurers accepted that there had been a loss of the aircraft, but argued that the loss was the result of a War Risks peril.
In holding that each of the Lessors had suffered permanent loss of possession of the aircraft upon the implementation of Order 331 on 10 March 2022, the Court held that the Lessors only needed to establish that deprivation of possession was, on the balance of probabilities, permanent which, in line with the judgment of the Supreme Court of New South Wales in Mobis Parts Australia Pty Ltd v XL Insurance Co SE [2019] Lloyd’s Law Rep IR 162, could be interpreted as being “more probable than not”. That case, whilst not binding in the UK, considered the notion of permanence and held that it should be assessed against the standard of “more probably than not”.
What was the proximate cause of the loss?
Having established a loss, the central issue was whether that loss was covered under the All Risks or the War Risks cover.
In relation to the All Risks cover, the Court had to consider whether the claims fell within either of two excluded perils, being:
a) Political Peril, defined as “any act of one or more persons, whether or not agents of a sovereign power, for political or terrorist purposes and whether the loss or damage resulting therefrom is accidental or intentional”; or
b) a Government Peril, defined as “confiscation, nationalisation, seizure, restraint, detention, appropriation, requisition for title or use by or under the order of any Government”.
If the claims did fall within either of those perils, the War Risks cover would be engaged.
Despite War Risks insurers’ attempts to argue a restrictive interpretation of the exclusions, Mr Justice Butcher found that the action taken by the Russian government on 10 March 2022 (Order 311) amounted to a “restraint” or “detention” that fell squarely within the definition of a Government Peril.
As a result, the claims were excluded by the All Risks cover and fell to the War Risks insurers.
Causation – Wayne Tank & Pump Cp. Ltd v Employers Liability Incorporation Ltd
Central to the arguments on causation was whether the Wayne Tank principle applied to independent concurrent causes (i.e. two causes each of which is sufficient to cause the loss on its own), or if Wayne Tank applied only to interdependent concurrent causes (i.e. where two causes, neither of which is sufficient on its own, act together to cause the loss).
In broad terms, the Wayne Tank principle dictates that, where there are two proximate causes of a loss, and one is covered and the other excluded, the exclusion will prevail, and the insurer will not be liable.
In seeking to limit the potential application of the Government Peril and Political Peril exclusions if it was found that the loss was also caused by a peril within the All Risks cover, War Risks insurers argued that the Wayne Tank principle did not apply to independent concurrent causes. In essence, the War Risks insurers were seeking to argue that, in addition to Order 311, the lessees of the planes had independently decided that it was in their interest to retain the aircraft and engines, which was a proximate cause which would be covered under the All Risks cover, and was completely independent from Order 311 such that the Wayne Tank principle did not apply.
Ultimately, Mr Justice Butcher found that Order 311 was the sole proximate cause. However, obiter, he commented that, even if there was an independent concurrent cause that fell within the scope of the All Risks cover (such as the lessees deciding themselves to retain the aircraft), the Wayne Tank principle would apply and the fact that Order 311 triggered the Government Peril exclusion would exclude cover in any event.
This part of the judgment is notable for policyholders as, while it is settled law that the Wayne Tank principle applies to interdependent concurrent causes (causes which act together to cause the loss), Mr Justice Butcher has now indicated, albeit obiter, that the same principle applies to independent concurrent causes (causes which would have been sufficient to cause the loss on their own).
As a result, each of the Lessors’ claims were found to be excluded under the All Risks cover and it was held that the claims fell to the War Risks insurers. Unfortunately, in Aercap’s case, this meant that it was entitled only to the lower limit of indemnity of $1.2 billion.
Do sanctions prevent payment to lessors?
Each of the policies contained an endorsement providing that insurers would not be liable where “providing coverage to the Insured is or would be unlawful because it breaches an embargo or sanction".
On that basis, insurers argued that they were prohibited from making payment under the War Risks section on account of sanctions introduced by the EU and US.
The Court considered the relevant sanctions and rejected insurers’ arguments on the basis of the specific wordings.
The grip of the peril – Stonegate v MS Amlin and Sky v Riverstone applied
Finally, in light of Mr Justice Butcher’s finding that the loss occurred on 10 March 2022, a separate issue arose in relation to the claims advanced by the Lessors whose War Risks policies contained provisions to review the geographical limits of the policies, pursuant to which insurers had terminated cover in Russia prior to 10 March 2022.
DAE, Falcon, Merx and Genesis advanced the “death blow” or “grip of the peril” concepts considered by Mr Justice Butcher in Stonegate v MS Amlin and again by the Court of Appeal in Sky v Riverstone. The lessors argued that the loss flowed from a peril that was operative within the policy period, and so, notwithstanding that the total loss occurred outside of it, they were entitled to cover.
In considering the authorities, Mr Justice Butcher clarified that:
“if an insured is, within the policy period, deprived of possession of the relevant property by the operation of a peril insured against and, in circumstances which the insured cannot reasonably prevent, that deprivation of possession develops after the end of the policy period into a permanent deprivation by way of a sequence of events following in the ordinary course from the peril insured against which has operated during the policy period, then the insured is entitled to an indemnity under the policy.”
Concluding that there were indeed restraints and detentions that took place prior to the implementation of Order 311, and that the loss of the aircraft on 10 March 2022 arose in a sequence of events that followed in the ordinary course of those restraints and detentions, it was held that the aircraft were in the grip of the peril by the time the relevant policies were terminated, and the relevant Lessors were therefore entitled to cover. In other words, whilst the aircraft were lost on 10 March 2022, they were in “the grip of the peril” from 5 March 2022 onwards.
In making this decision, the Court made several important findings, including:
a) relying on the explanation of the doctrine by the Court of Appeal in Sky v Riverstone, that a policy covering “loss occurring during” does not overcome the application of the “grip of the peril” principle;
b) there is no difference between (i) a loss where physical damage during the period of insurance later develops into a total loss after expiry and (ii) a loss where a deprivation during the period later becomes permanent after expiry, as a matter of construction; and
c) the “grip of the peril” principle naturally applies to deprivation of possession scenarios.
Lessons for policyholders
During a time of increased geopolitical tension, this decision is an important one given its key findings of fact and analysis of legal principles, which are likely to be applicable to all manner of coverage disputes arising out of Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine.
In particular, Mr Justice Butcher’s consideration of loss by way of deprivation in non-marine insurance policies is likely to be relevant to a range of insurance policies and policyholders that have been affected by the fallout from the Ukraine conflict and other ongoing geopolitical events.
Mr Justice Butcher’s consideration of the Wayne Tank principle is also of particular importance to policyholders given the apparent expansion of its previously accepted application to interdependent concurrent causes. It now seems that the principle will also apply to causes either of which is sufficient to cause the loss on its own, but which act in parallel.
Authors:
Joanna Grant, Managing Partner
Anthony McGeough, Senior Associate
AI is mainstream. Reimagining conventional risk management and insurance practice
As generative AI continues to revolutionise how businesses operate, the insurance industry is navigating a fast-changing landscape. AI’s potential to increase efficiency is undeniable, but it’s also raising serious questions about risk, responsibility, and the very nature of professional value.
In a recent panel discussion, at the Airmic Annual Conference in Liverpool, David Pryce, Senior Partner at Fenchurch Law, Jonathan Nichols, Head of RMIS Operations at Archer, and Vincent Plantard, Head Strategy & Analytics Claims, Director at Swiss Re Corporate Solutions, shared how their businesses are adapting to AI, the challenges they’re facing, and what responsible use looks like in high-stakes, regulated sectors.
From “let’s wait” to full-scale adoption
“A year ago, if you’d asked me about AI, I would’ve said, ‘We’re a small firm, we’ll wait and see what the bigger players do.’ But within about eight months, that completely changed.”- David Pryce
What drove the shift?
The realisation that clients are unlikely to continue paying for tasks that AI can perform quickly, cheaply, or even for free.
David and his team began a firm-wide review of every task they perform, categorising each into five types of data interaction:
- Capturing
- Retrieving
- Processing
- Analysing
- Creating
The focus is on using AI to free up more time for meaningful, high-value client engagement. The view is that if a task isn’t central to what clients truly value, it should be automated wherever possible. For the work that is core, AI should be used to enhance the way you operate, not to replace it. The ultimate aim is to spend more time applying the judgment, creativity, and specialist knowledge that only humans can offer.
Process to process improvement
Jonathan opened with a stark reality. At a recent industry event, a student asked him, “Where should my career be in five years?” The honest answer: many current jobs will no longer exist as AI rapidly replaces routine processes.
AI is not just advancing, it’s accelerating. Current systems already exceed average human IQ, and in a few years, they are projected to surpass Einstein-level intelligence. AI will solve complex problems at a scale and speed humans can’t match. However, AI cannot decide what problems to solve. That remains the essential human role.
The real value in future careers won’t come from doing the process but from improving it. To stay relevant, professionals must actively learn AI, work closely with IT teams and vendors, and develop strong data strategies, as AI can only deliver results with the right information. Companies that don’t embrace this shift will quickly be left behind.
Becoming data-led professionals
The shift isn’t just about technology, it’s about mindset. Swiss Re’s Vincent shared that one of the biggest challenges is helping professionals evolve from intuition-based decision-making to data-informed thinking.
“We’re asking people who’ve built their careers on experience to now use data and AI insights as a critical part of their decision-making. It’s a cultural change.”
The focus is on automating low-value, repetitive work, like routine marketing tasks and claims processing, so that teams can focus on what matters most: serving clients, making strategic decisions, and adding value.
“AI isn’t about cutting heads. It’s about giving people the space to focus on higher-order work.”
David echoed this theme, emphasising that the profession has already moved beyond the question of whether AI will have an impact; it is. The real focus now is on how to integrate AI into processes in ways that strengthen service and build even deeper trust with clients.
Risk and responsibility
David highlighted that while AI is a powerful tool, it does not remove professional responsibility.
“When you delegate a task to a junior colleague, you don’t sign it off without reviewing it. It’s the same with AI. You must check the output; you’re still accountable.”
In most cases, existing insurance policies will respond to AI-related errors if the professional has taken reasonable care. But there’s a fine line.
“Sending AI-generated work to a client without checking it would likely be seen as negligent, or even reckless. And if you act recklessly, you could find yourself uninsured.”
David also raised an important emerging issue: whether insurance policies are fully equipped to address the rapidly evolving AI landscape. He noted that some cyber exclusions may unintentionally restrict legitimate AI use, while insurers are beginning to consider AI-specific risks, such as hallucination errors. However, the fundamental principle remains that insurance is there to protect those who act responsibly.
Crucially, that responsibility doesn’t rest solely with individuals; it is an organisational duty. Firms must ensure their teams are properly trained to use AI safely and effectively. Simply blaming the tool for mistakes will not suffice; courts, regulators, and insurers will still hold businesses accountable.
David shared a cautionary story: a lawyer who submitted AI-generated court documents containing fake legal citations. The lawyer now faces professional sanctions and possible prosecution.
Responsible AI use is not just about risk management; it’s about maintaining trust with clients, regulators, and insurers. By using AI to enhance, rather than shortcut, professional work, firms can better serve their clients while staying firmly within regulatory and ethical boundaries.
Integrating AI seamlessly
Many professionals still think of AI as something they actively prompt, typing questions into tools like ChatGPT. But as Vincent pointed out, AI is increasingly embedded into everyday systems.
“When you get personalised dashboards, search suggestions, or email summaries, AI is working behind the scenes. You’re probably using it already.”
Jonathan emphasised the importance of taking a proactive, hands-on approach to learning AI. He recommended a three-pronged strategy: first, get familiar with AI personally by using tools like ChatGPT, Copilot, or any accessible AI platform. By experimenting with these tools, professionals can better understand their capabilities and limitations. He noted that the number of people using AI regularly has grown significantly over the past six months, signalling how quickly adoption is accelerating.
Second, Jonathan encouraged working closely with internal IT teams, who often already have access to advanced AI tools. Understanding what is available within the organisation is key to unlocking potential solutions.
Third, he advised engaging directly with technology vendors. By learning what providers can offer and asking how AI might help solve specific problems, professionals can better integrate AI into their workflows. His core message was clear: don’t shy away from AI. Much like past technological shifts, such as the move from fax machines to email, embracing AI will be essential to staying effective and competitive in the evolving workplace.
Getting started
For professionals wondering where to begin, David offers this:
“Don’t try to build your own AI. Start with an off-the-shelf solution from a reputable, secure provider.”
He also recommends integrating AI into workflows in a deliberate and balanced way. Use AI to automate routine, repetitive tasks to free up time, but caution against letting automation distract from the core value clients seek.
Evolving, not replacing
The takeaway from all three speakers is clear: AI isn’t about replacing professionals. It’s about elevating them.
“We’re not preparing for some distant AI future. The tools we have now are already changing how we work. It’s not about whether we use AI, it’s about using it well.”
The key risks? Not using AI at all, or using it irresponsibly.
AI is here to stay. The professionals who thrive will be those who embrace it, understand its limits, and use it to strengthen, not erode, the trust their clients place in them.
David Pryce is a Senior Partner at Fenchurch Law.
Fenchurch Law Appoints Matthew King as Associate Solicitor, Singapore.
Matthew King joins Fenchurch Law’s Singapore office as an Associate, specialising in coverage disputes. He previously worked for Michelmores where he specialised in Commercial and Regulatory disputes, advising on intellectual property, contractual, shareholder, banking and insolvency and insurance-related disputes.
Fenchurch Law announced the opening of its first international hub in Singapore in 2024, with a mission to offer policyholders and brokers from across Singapore and the wider Asia-Pacific region first-class support on high value, complex, commercial insurance coverage disputes.
Toby Nabarro, Director at Fenchurch Law Singapore: “It’s been a busy first year for our team in Singapore. Over the past twelve months, we’ve begun to establish ourselves in the APAC insurance markets by representing and advising policyholders in high-value and complex coverage disputes with their insurers. It’s an exciting time for Matt to join the team, as we continue to grow and establish our presence in the APAC market.”
Matthew King: “I was attracted to Fenchurch Law due to its entrepreneurial spirit and its inclusive values. Having a single purpose mission statement, to put policyholders on an equal footing with insurers in coverage disputes, is a unique attribute in a competitive legal market, and one that sets Fenchurch Law out from the crowd.”
Click here to find out more about Matthew